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THINK INDIA PROBABILITY OF DYING EXPECTATION OF LIFE AND ...

POPULATION SCIENCE, DEMOGRAPHY, ACTUARY
Jitendra Kumar Barthakur

ISBN-978-81-89392-16-1 

2014, HB+j, Art Paper, 204 p, Four Colour, 25x17x2 cm3, 1925 gm

Rs.2000.00

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THINK INDIA PROBABILITY OF DYING, EXPECTATION OF LIFE AND FERTILITY STUDY 1881-2011

 

This book meets an ancient need to illustrate that it is not necessary to use age specific death rate to compile the probability of dying or “qx” by using an unestablished relationship between age or “a” and cohort age or “x”. In the modern context, the electronic statistical packages extend the practice. For a country like India, the trend creates double hazard; because the figures of India’s crude death rate, age specific death rate and other similar ratios are not really acceptable. In short, qx and qx based studies of India are far from correct. India’s only source of population statistics is census. The author has smoothed India’s census data and compiled census based age table (a, t, x), where “t” is date, and printed the figures in his 2008 publication Think India Age Table 1881-2021. The present publication bases on this antique work and reveals some of the truths regarding India’s mortality and fertility statistics.







Author, Jitendra Kumar Barthakur, PhD in statistics, is a retired officer of the Indian Frontier Administrative Service of the Government of India who had worked from his student days on the continuity of population in conscious time with the inputs of discrete subsets of deaths and births. Continuity of “population” on the time variable “date”, its association with the personal time variable “age” and the coincidental or survival time variable of “Cohort Age” provide a fascinating field of study. “Age” presides over the limitedness of birth and death and the continuity of survival. ...  Author hopes to write about “demochronon” some day.